Entering a Dark Age of Innovation

Entering a dark age of conception glide the vane and making free internet phone calls on your Wi-Fi laptop, audition to your iPod on the way home, it often seems that, technologically s chargeing, we ar enjoying a golden age. Human inventiveness is so finely honed, and the globalised engineering lore industries so productive, that there appears to be an invention to cater for any modern whim. But harmonise to a raw analysis, this chance couldnt be more defame: far from being in technological nirvana, we are riotous approaching a new dark age. That, at least, is the terminal of Jonathan Huebner, a physicist working at the Pent agons Naval Air warfare Center in mainland China Lake, California. He hypothecates the rate of technological innovation reached a peak a century ago and has been declining ever since. And like the discoverer on the Titanic who espy the fateful iceberg, Huebner sees the end of innovation looming dead out front. His debate will be published in Technological prognostication and Social Change. Its an unfashionable view. Most futurologists say engineering science is developing at exponential rates. Moores law, for example, foresaw fleck densities (for which occupy travel and memory capacity) doubling every 18 months. And the chip makers incur lived up to its predictions. Building on this, the less well-known(a) Kurzweils law says that these faster, smarter chips are leading to even faster development in the force out of data processors. Developments in genome sequencing and nanoscale machinery are racing ahead too, and internet connectivity and telecommunications bandwidths are growing even faster than computer power, catalysing soundless further waves of innovation. But Huebner is confident of his facts. He has dogged been soft on(p) by the fact that promised advances were not appearing as quick as predicted. I wondered if there was a fountain for this, he says. Perhaps there is a limit to what technology mint achieve. In an effort to find out, h! e plan major innovations and scientific advances over time...If you want to get a rich essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com

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